Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1307.712644 1491.146998 1696.397307 1944.064315 2236.112298 2571.117574 2986.743882
2025-08-10 1058.020968 1304.886868 1608.548188 2013.834923 2547.077019 3233.893210 4200.519619
2025-08-17 916.545686 1188.776357 1544.915675 2053.396894 2774.779763 3783.505417 5341.048053
2025-08-24 812.344154 1096.113013 1485.930822 2073.688629 2961.086170 4291.212239 6517.277274
2025-08-31 731.510329 1020.160048 1433.324439 2086.032381 3126.365515 4784.969183 7771.913758
2025-09-07 674.079046 968.130208 1404.851851 2124.717390 3331.079005 5369.490718 9309.201429
2025-09-14 602.754945 886.086207 1319.441829 2058.653088 3349.257155 5637.898164 10334.381330
2025-09-21 544.015806 816.471468 1244.293047 1997.004908 3361.351203 5891.527029 11385.883831
2025-09-28 492.152478 752.222314 1170.201170 1926.198122 3343.614277 6081.985203 12349.607552
2025-10-05 473.310131 739.095424 1178.157194 1998.897926 3601.750640 6857.245248 14813.019837
2025-10-12 449.721885 715.577482 1165.512344 2031.604853 3786.254483 7516.610748 17206.305912
2025-10-19 427.183816 691.603379 1149.262460 2054.725896 3953.917820 8172.230713 19801.944719
2025-10-26 404.346311 665.945384 1128.923000 2070.424491 4115.792429 8867.341710 22808.533078
2025-11-02 390.414482 654.922014 1134.414610 2139.053602 4407.449201 9947.398226 27394.470061
2025-11-09 374.487257 638.696910 1128.173303 2182.104543 4648.194700 10960.147906 32233.571750
2025-11-16 357.499050 618.959211 1113.033243 2203.882143 4842.281556 11899.974605 37288.087851
2025-11-23 341.089269 598.890996 1095.176913 2217.159979 5017.862180 12835.834138 42822.349811
2025-11-30 328.928111 585.927413 1090.235149 2258.768872 5273.925904 14080.760283 50297.025971
2025-12-07 306.939616 552.096590 1039.434281 2187.717459 5218.728713 14354.682708 53819.763682
2025-12-14 287.264159 521.488627 992.860492 2121.444483 5166.307476 14628.538636 57534.602509
2025-12-21 268.311870 491.092931 944.384810 2045.361243 5074.885885 14754.564983 60655.565008
2025-12-28 263.820456 489.660232 957.874758 2123.479091 5442.275951 16574.900438 73757.377959
2026-01-04 256.036290 480.863577 954.468396 2158.636602 5689.936353 18051.106080 86258.365571